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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

11:30

Venue

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Kasımpaşa Win

59%

Kasımpaşa

1.71

20%

Draw

4.92

21%

Sivasspor

4.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

Kasımpaşa xG

Total xG

3.55

1.30

Sivasspor xG

59%
20%
21%
KasımpaşaDrawSivasspor

1.71

59%

Home win

4.92

20%

Draw

4.75

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.88

Clean Sheet

27%

Kasımpaşa

3.67

11%

Sivasspor

9.49

Win to Nil

16%

Kasımpaşa

6.25

2%

Sivasspor

45.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.7 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 6.5 8.4 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
2 7.3 9.5 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.5 7.1 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.1 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.250
λ Away (xG) 1.299
Total xG 3.549
League avg home goals 1.585
League avg away goals 1.175
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.211
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.310
Sivasspor attack strength 0.844
Sivasspor defence strength 1.172
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68