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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Galatasaray Win

26%

Kasımpaşa

3.78

32%

Draw

3.09

41%

Galatasaray

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Kasımpaşa xG

Total xG

2.57

1.44

Galatasaray xG

26%
32%
41%
KasımpaşaDrawGalatasaray

3.78

26%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

24%

Kasımpaşa

4.23

32%

Galatasaray

3.10

Win to Nil

6%

Kasımpaşa

15.98

13%

Galatasaray

7.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 11.0 7.9 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.6 12.4 9.0 4.3 1.6 0.4
2 4.9 7.0 5.1 2.4 0.9 0.3
3 1.8 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.131
λ Away (xG) 1.443
Total xG 2.574
League avg home goals 1.535
League avg away goals 1.128
Kasımpaşa attack strength 0.768
Kasımpaşa defence strength 0.990
Galatasaray attack strength 1.292
Galatasaray defence strength 0.959
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69