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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

10:30

Venue

Mersin Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hatayspor Win

41%

Hatayspor

2.42

26%

Draw

3.79

32%

Göztepe

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Hatayspor xG

Total xG

3.02

1.41

Göztepe xG

41%
26%
32%
HataysporDrawGöztepe

2.42

41%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

24%

Hatayspor

4.09

20%

Göztepe

5.04

Win to Nil

10%

Hatayspor

9.87

6%

Göztepe

15.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.8 4.8 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 7.9 11.1 7.8 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.3 8.9 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 3.4 4.8 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.4 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.617
λ Away (xG) 1.408
Total xG 3.025
League avg home goals 1.628
League avg away goals 1.192
Hatayspor attack strength 0.797
Hatayspor defence strength 1.025
Göztepe attack strength 1.152
Göztepe defence strength 1.247
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 14