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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

17:00

Venue

Mersin Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Başakşehir Win

34%

Hatayspor

2.92

23%

Draw

4.42

43%

Başakşehir

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Hatayspor xG

Total xG

3.37

1.79

Başakşehir xG

34%
23%
43%
HataysporDrawBaşakşehir

2.92

34%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.96

Clean Sheet

17%

Hatayspor

6.01

21%

Başakşehir

4.85

Win to Nil

6%

Hatayspor

17.57

9%

Başakşehir

11.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 6.1 5.5 3.3 1.5 0.5
1 5.4 9.7 8.7 5.2 2.3 0.8
2 4.3 7.7 6.9 4.1 1.8 0.7
3 2.3 4.0 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.3
4 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.580
λ Away (xG) 1.794
Total xG 3.374
League avg home goals 1.628
League avg away goals 1.185
Hatayspor attack strength 0.870
Hatayspor defence strength 1.310
Başakşehir attack strength 1.156
Başakşehir defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69