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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 30 Aug 2026

17:00

Venue

Gaziantep Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Gaziantep FK Win

45%

Gaziantep FK

2.22

29%

Draw

3.50

26%

Rizespor

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Gaziantep FK xG

Total xG

2.81

1.20

Rizespor xG

45%
29%
26%
Gaziantep FKDrawRizespor

2.22

45%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

30%

Gaziantep FK

3.31

20%

Rizespor

5.01

Win to Nil

14%

Gaziantep FK

7.36

5%

Rizespor

18.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.7 11.6 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.4 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.2 5.0 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.611
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 2.809
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Gaziantep FK attack strength 0.918
Gaziantep FK defence strength 1.071
Rizespor attack strength 0.979
Rizespor defence strength 1.102
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34