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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 13 Sep 2026

17:00

Venue

Rams Park

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Galatasaray Win

60%

Galatasaray

1.66

25%

Draw

4.02

15%

Kocaelispor

6.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Galatasaray xG

Total xG

2.83

0.89

Kocaelispor xG

60%
25%
15%
GalatasarayDrawKocaelispor

1.66

60%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

6.74

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

41%

Galatasaray

2.43

14%

Kocaelispor

6.95

Win to Nil

25%

Galatasaray

4.03

2%

Kocaelispor

46.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 11.5 10.2 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.2 6.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.5 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.939
λ Away (xG) 0.887
Total xG 2.826
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Galatasaray attack strength 1.299
Galatasaray defence strength 0.929
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.835
Kocaelispor defence strength 0.937
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34