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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Galatasaray run riot with a 4-0 hammering of Antalyaspor.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Galatasaray beat Antalyaspor 4-0 at RAMS Park, Regular Season - 28, in the Süper Lig. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Galatasaray 2.04 xG and Antalyaspor 0.79 xG, a combined 2.83. The scoreboard read 4-0 for 4 actual goals. Galatasaray beat their projection by 2.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Galatasaray attack 1.06 / defence 0.83 against Antalyaspor attack 0.79 / defence 1.17, drawn from 64/64 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Galatasaray 66% | Draw 21% | Antalyaspor 13%, with Galatasaray to win its most likely call at 66%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. Over 3.5 was 32% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Galatasaray 67%, Antalyaspor 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Galatasaray's trading profile (64 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 41% of the time, and duly kept one.

Antalyaspor's trading profile (64 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 31% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Galatasaray arrived the stronger side — 2.66 PPG against 1.28. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Galatasaray (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 2.50 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.91 average — tighter than their form line. Antalyaspor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.06 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.88 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights