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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

17:00

Venue

Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Göztepe Win

72%

Göztepe

1.38

16%

Draw

6.40

12%

Hatayspor

8.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

3 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.67

Göztepe xG

Total xG

3.70

1.03

Hatayspor xG

72%
16%
12%
GöztepeDrawHatayspor

1.38

72%

Home win

6.40

16%

Draw

8.23

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

36%

Göztepe

2.80

7%

Hatayspor

14.45

Win to Nil

26%

Göztepe

3.87

1%

Hatayspor

118.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 6.6 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
2 8.8 9.1 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.9 8.1 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 5.2 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1
5 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.671
λ Away (xG) 1.028
Total xG 3.699
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.219
Göztepe attack strength 1.122
Göztepe defence strength 0.938
Hatayspor attack strength 0.898
Hatayspor defence strength 1.495
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 70