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Stalemate at Göztepe's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, Regular Season - 24, as Göztepe and Eyüpspor drew 0-0 in the Süper Lig. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Göztepe 1.58 xG and Eyüpspor 0.82 xG, a combined 2.40. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Göztepe fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Eyüpspor landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Göztepe attack 0.95 / defence 0.70 against Eyüpspor attack 0.92 / defence 1.21, drawn from 59/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Göztepe 52% | Draw 32% | Eyüpspor 16%, with Göztepe to win its most likely call at 52%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Göztepe 46%, Eyüpspor 51%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Göztepe's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.

Eyüpspor's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Göztepe 1.54 PPG, Eyüpspor 1.25 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Göztepe (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.72 scoring average — below par going forward. Eyüpspor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.93 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.45 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights