Göztepe vs Adana Demirspor – Predictions
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Göztepe's attack at 1.13x the league average against Adana Demirspor's defence at 1.25x — combine the two and it projects 2.22 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Adana Demirspor's attack versus Göztepe's defence, projects 0.85 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 13/51 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 2-0 carries the highest individual probability at 11.4% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-1 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Göztepe Win
67%
1.49
21%
4.70
12%
8.64
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
10.3%
Home win
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.22
Göztepe xG
Total xG
3.07
0.85
Adana Demirspor xG
1.49
67%
Home win
4.70
21%
Draw
8.64
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.90
47%
BTTS No
2.11
Clean Sheet
43%
2.34
11%
9.23
Win to Nil
29%
3.49
1%
79.75
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 10.3 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.4 | 9.7 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Göztepe vs Adana Demirspor?
Our Poisson model rates 2-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.4%.
How many goals are Göztepe and Adana Demirspor expected to score?
The model projects 2.22 expected goals for Göztepe and 0.85 for Adana Demirspor, a combined total of 3.07.
How confident is the prediction model for Göztepe vs Adana Demirspor?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 67%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.