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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

57%

Fenerbahçe

1.76

23%

Draw

4.37

20%

Samsunspor

4.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

2.91

1.03

Samsunspor xG

57%
23%
20%
FenerbahçeDrawSamsunspor

1.76

57%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

4.95

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

36%

Fenerbahçe

2.81

15%

Samsunspor

6.55

Win to Nil

20%

Fenerbahçe

4.94

3%

Samsunspor

32.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.2 10.5 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.0 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.880
λ Away (xG) 1.033
Total xG 2.913
League avg home goals 1.628
League avg away goals 1.203
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.327
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.917
Samsunspor attack strength 0.937
Samsunspor defence strength 0.870
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 64