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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

55%

Fenerbahçe

1.83

27%

Draw

3.76

19%

Rizespor

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

3.11

1.13

Rizespor xG

55%
27%
19%
FenerbahçeDrawRizespor

1.83

55%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

32%

Fenerbahçe

3.10

14%

Rizespor

7.24

Win to Nil

18%

Fenerbahçe

5.68

3%

Rizespor

38.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.0 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.8 10.0 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.8 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.9 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.980
λ Away (xG) 1.131
Total xG 3.111
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.186
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.337
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.882
Rizespor attack strength 1.081
Rizespor defence strength 1.047
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65