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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

19:30

Venue

Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

58%

Fenerbahçe

1.72

24%

Draw

4.24

18%

Kocaelispor

5.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

2.58

0.85

Kocaelispor xG

58%
24%
18%
FenerbahçeDrawKocaelispor

1.72

58%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

5.45

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

43%

Fenerbahçe

2.35

18%

Kocaelispor

5.64

Win to Nil

25%

Fenerbahçe

4.05

3%

Kocaelispor

30.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 6.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 13.0 11.2 4.8 1.4 0.3
2 11.3 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 6.5 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
4 2.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.729
λ Away (xG) 0.855
Total xG 2.584
League avg home goals 1.369
League avg away goals 1.251
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.204
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.969
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.705
Kocaelispor defence strength 1.049
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 37 / 2