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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 5 Jan 2025

16:00

Venue

Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

70%

Fenerbahçe

1.44

20%

Draw

4.93

10%

Hatayspor

9.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.35

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

3.19

0.84

Hatayspor xG

70%
20%
FenerbahçeDrawHatayspor

1.44

70%

Home win

4.93

20%

Draw

9.94

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

43%

Fenerbahçe

2.31

10%

Hatayspor

10.52

Win to Nil

30%

Fenerbahçe

3.32

1%

Hatayspor

104.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.7 8.1 3.4 0.9 0.2
2 11.4 9.5 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.9 7.5 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 5.3 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.353
λ Away (xG) 0.837
Total xG 3.190
League avg home goals 1.607
League avg away goals 1.216
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.317
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.835
Hatayspor attack strength 0.824
Hatayspor defence strength 1.111
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54