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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

18:00

Venue

Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

61%

Fenerbahçe

1.63

23%

Draw

4.32

15%

Fatih Karagümrük

6.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

3.14

1.01

Fatih Karagümrük xG

61%
23%
15%
FenerbahçeDrawFatih Karagümrük

1.63

61%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

6.51

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

36%

Fenerbahçe

2.75

12%

Fatih Karagümrük

8.44

Win to Nil

22%

Fenerbahçe

4.47

2%

Fatih Karagümrük

54.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 4.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.2 9.3 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.0 7.0 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.7 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.2
5 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.133
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 3.144
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.324
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.202
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.818
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.934
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.325
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 8