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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

16:00

Venue

Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

64%

Fenerbahçe

1.56

22%

Draw

4.54

14%

Başakşehir

7.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.12

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

3.04

0.91

Başakşehir xG

64%
22%
14%
FenerbahçeDrawBaşakşehir

1.56

64%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

7.17

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

40%

Fenerbahçe

2.49

12%

Başakşehir

8.37

Win to Nil

26%

Fenerbahçe

3.90

2%

Başakşehir

60.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.2 9.3 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.7 7.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
4 4.1 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.125
λ Away (xG) 0.914
Total xG 3.039
League avg home goals 1.627
League avg away goals 1.177
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.247
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.826
Başakşehir attack strength 0.940
Başakşehir defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52