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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Fatih Karagümrük

3.20

36%

Draw

2.74

32%

Kocaelispor

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Fatih Karagümrük xG

Total xG

2.29

1.16

Kocaelispor xG

31%
36%
32%
Fatih KaragümrükDrawKocaelispor

3.20

31%

Home win

2.74

36%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

32%

Fatih Karagümrük

3.17

32%

Kocaelispor

3.10

Win to Nil

10%

Fatih Karagümrük

10.17

10%

Kocaelispor

9.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 11.7 6.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 11.5 13.3 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.5 7.5 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.5 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.132
λ Away (xG) 1.155
Total xG 2.287
League avg home goals 1.245
League avg away goals 1.302
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.796
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.242
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.714
Kocaelispor defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 15