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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Kasımpaşa Win

24%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.08

28%

Draw

3.56

47%

Kasımpaşa

2.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Fatih Karagümrük xG

Total xG

2.66

1.58

Kasımpaşa xG

24%
28%
47%
Fatih KaragümrükDrawKasımpaşa

4.08

24%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.11

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

21%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.86

34%

Kasımpaşa

2.95

Win to Nil

5%

Fatih Karagümrük

19.84

16%

Kasımpaşa

6.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 11.0 8.7 4.6 1.8 0.6
1 7.5 11.9 9.4 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 4.1 6.4 5.1 2.7 1.1 0.3
3 1.5 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.081
λ Away (xG) 1.581
Total xG 2.662
League avg home goals 1.383
League avg away goals 1.300
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.720
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.182
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.029
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 39