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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Ataturk Olimpiyat

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fatih Karagümrük Win

46%

Fatih Karagümrük

2.20

36%

Draw

2.76

18%

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

5.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Fatih Karagümrük xG

Total xG

1.97

0.72

Gençlerbirliği S.K. xG

46%
36%
18%
Fatih KaragümrükDrawGençlerbirliği S.K.

2.20

46%

Home win

2.76

36%

Draw

5.48

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

49%

Fatih Karagümrük

2.06

29%

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

3.47

Win to Nil

22%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.52

5%

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

19.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 10.1 3.6 0.9 0.2
1 17.4 12.6 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 10.9 7.8 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 4.5 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.245
λ Away (xG) 0.721
Total xG 1.966
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.128
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.794
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.082
Gençlerbirliği S.K. attack strength 0.591
Gençlerbirliği S.K. defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 31