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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 20 Sep 2026

17:00

Venue

TBC

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Erzurumspor FK Win

38%

Erzurumspor FK

2.67

29%

Draw

3.46

34%

Samsunspor

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Erzurumspor FK xG

Total xG

2.86

1.39

Samsunspor xG

38%
29%
34%
Erzurumspor FKDrawSamsunspor

2.67

38%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

25%

Erzurumspor FK

4.00

23%

Samsunspor

4.37

Win to Nil

9%

Erzurumspor FK

10.66

8%

Samsunspor

13.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.9 5.5 2.5 0.9 0.2
1 8.4 11.7 8.1 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.6 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.1 4.2 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.474
λ Away (xG) 1.386
Total xG 2.860
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Erzurumspor FK attack strength 0.850
Erzurumspor FK defence strength 1.150
Samsunspor attack strength 1.054
Samsunspor defence strength 1.089
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 34