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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Başakşehir Win

58%

Başakşehir

1.72

25%

Draw

4.01

17%

Samsunspor

5.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

2 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

Başakşehir xG

Total xG

3.41

1.19

Samsunspor xG

58%
25%
17%
BaşakşehirDrawSamsunspor

1.72

58%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

5.89

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.83

Clean Sheet

30%

Başakşehir

3.30

11%

Samsunspor

9.22

Win to Nil

18%

Başakşehir

5.68

2%

Samsunspor

54.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 7.3 8.7 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.0 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.3 4.0 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.221
λ Away (xG) 1.193
Total xG 3.414
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.110
Başakşehir attack strength 1.296
Başakşehir defence strength 0.900
Samsunspor attack strength 1.195
Samsunspor defence strength 1.169
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68