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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 30 Aug 2026

17:00

Venue

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Başakşehir Win

61%

Başakşehir

1.63

23%

Draw

4.33

16%

Kasımpaşa

6.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

Başakşehir xG

Total xG

3.17

1.03

Kasımpaşa xG

61%
23%
16%
BaşakşehirDrawKasımpaşa

1.63

61%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

6.39

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

36%

Başakşehir

2.80

12%

Kasımpaşa

8.53

Win to Nil

22%

Başakşehir

4.57

2%

Kasımpaşa

54.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 9.0 9.2 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.9 7.1 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 3.7 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.144
λ Away (xG) 1.030
Total xG 3.174
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Başakşehir attack strength 1.172
Başakşehir defence strength 0.884
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.019
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.149
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34