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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Başakşehir Win

66%

Başakşehir

1.51

23%

Draw

4.27

10%

Fatih Karagümrük

9.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.21

Başakşehir xG

Total xG

3.05

0.84

Fatih Karagümrük xG

66%
23%
BaşakşehirDrawFatih Karagümrük

1.51

66%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

9.62

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

43%

Başakşehir

2.32

11%

Fatih Karagümrük

9.15

Win to Nil

29%

Başakşehir

3.50

1%

Fatih Karagümrük

88.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.4 8.8 3.7 1.0 0.2
2 11.5 9.7 4.1 1.1 0.2
3 8.5 7.2 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 4.7 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.214
λ Away (xG) 0.841
Total xG 3.055
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.291
Başakşehir attack strength 1.266
Başakşehir defence strength 0.994
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.655
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.304
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 17