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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Fenerbahçe cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Alanyaspor.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Fenerbahçe beat Alanyaspor 0-2 at GAIN Park Stadium, Regular Season - 23, in the Süper Lig. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Alanyaspor 1.53 xG and Fenerbahçe 2.17 xG, a combined 3.70. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Alanyaspor fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Alanyaspor attack 1.13 / defence 1.11 against Fenerbahçe attack 1.54 / defence 0.78, drawn from 59/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Alanyaspor 26% | Draw 23% | Fenerbahçe 51%, with Fenerbahçe to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 72%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 89% and landed. Over 3.5 was 51% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 70% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Alanyaspor 48%, Fenerbahçe 68%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Alanyaspor's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Fenerbahçe's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Fenerbahçe arrived the stronger side — 2.54 PPG against 1.36. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Alanyaspor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.69 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights