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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 21 Dec 2025

11:30

Venue

GAİN Park Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alanyaspor Win

48%

Alanyaspor

2.08

37%

Draw

2.72

15%

Fatih Karagümrük

6.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Alanyaspor xG

Total xG

1.89

0.63

Fatih Karagümrük xG

48%
37%
15%
AlanyasporDrawFatih Karagümrük

2.08

48%

Home win

2.72

37%

Draw

6.64

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.70

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

53%

Alanyaspor

1.88

28%

Fatih Karagümrük

3.52

Win to Nil

26%

Alanyaspor

3.90

4%

Fatih Karagümrük

23.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.1 9.5 3.0 0.6 0.1
1 19.0 12.0 3.8 0.8 0.1
2 12.0 7.6 2.4 0.5 0.1
3 5.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
4 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.259
λ Away (xG) 0.630
Total xG 1.889
League avg home goals 1.256
League avg away goals 1.309
Alanyaspor attack strength 0.758
Alanyaspor defence strength 0.701
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.686
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.322
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 16