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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 11 Aug 2025

19:30

Venue

Papara Park

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Trabzonspor Win

57%

Trabzonspor

1.76

21%

Draw

4.71

22%

Kocaelispor

4.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

2 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Trabzonspor xG

Total xG

3.25

1.21

Kocaelispor xG

57%
21%
22%
TrabzonsporDrawKocaelispor

1.76

57%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

4.53

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

30%

Trabzonspor

3.34

13%

Kocaelispor

7.70

Win to Nil

17%

Trabzonspor

5.89

3%

Kocaelispor

34.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.9 9.6 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.8 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.5 6.6 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.8 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.041
λ Away (xG) 1.205
Total xG 3.246
League avg home goals 1.591
League avg away goals 1.427
Trabzonspor attack strength 1.116
Trabzonspor defence strength 0.993
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.850
Kocaelispor defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 0