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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

13:00

Venue

BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sivasspor Win

38%

Sivasspor

2.66

27%

Draw

3.69

35%

Samsunspor

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Sivasspor xG

Total xG

3.06

1.51

Samsunspor xG

38%
27%
35%
SivassporDrawSamsunspor

2.66

38%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

22%

Sivasspor

4.51

21%

Samsunspor

4.74

Win to Nil

8%

Sivasspor

12.00

7%

Samsunspor

13.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 7.0 5.3 2.7 1.0 0.3
1 7.3 11.0 8.3 4.1 1.6 0.5
2 5.7 8.5 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.4
3 2.9 4.4 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.557
λ Away (xG) 1.506
Total xG 3.063
League avg home goals 1.658
League avg away goals 1.184
Sivasspor attack strength 0.948
Sivasspor defence strength 1.068
Samsunspor attack strength 1.191
Samsunspor defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 53