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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 14 Mar 2027

18:00

Venue

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Samsunspor Win

55%

Samsunspor

1.81

25%

Draw

3.94

19%

Kasımpaşa

5.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Samsunspor xG

Total xG

3.04

1.10

Kasımpaşa xG

55%
25%
19%
SamsunsporDrawKasımpaşa

1.81

55%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

5.13

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

33%

Samsunspor

3.01

14%

Kasımpaşa

6.97

Win to Nil

18%

Samsunspor

5.46

3%

Kasımpaşa

35.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.2 10.2 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.9 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.8 6.4 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.942
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 3.045
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Samsunspor attack strength 1.065
Samsunspor defence strength 0.947
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.019
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.145
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34