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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

18:00

Venue

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

27%

Samsunspor

3.66

30%

Draw

3.31

42%

Fenerbahçe

2.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Samsunspor xG

Total xG

2.81

1.57

Fenerbahçe xG

27%
30%
42%
SamsunsporDrawFenerbahçe

3.66

27%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

2.36

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

21%

Samsunspor

4.81

29%

Fenerbahçe

3.45

Win to Nil

6%

Samsunspor

17.59

12%

Fenerbahçe

8.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 9.5 7.4 3.9 1.5 0.5
1 7.5 11.7 9.2 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.6 7.3 5.7 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.9 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.237
λ Away (xG) 1.571
Total xG 2.808
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.279
Samsunspor attack strength 1.048
Samsunspor defence strength 1.048
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.172
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.870
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43