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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Samsunspor Win

45%

Samsunspor

2.24

31%

Draw

3.23

24%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Samsunspor xG

Total xG

2.48

1.03

Fatih Karagümrük xG

45%
31%
24%
SamsunsporDrawFatih Karagümrük

2.24

45%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

4.11

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

36%

Samsunspor

2.79

23%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.28

Win to Nil

16%

Samsunspor

6.25

6%

Fatih Karagümrük

17.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 8.6 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.2 12.5 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.1 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.454
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.480
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.195
Samsunspor attack strength 0.948
Samsunspor defence strength 0.977
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.879
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.187
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 5