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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Çaykur Didi Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

35%

Rizespor

2.87

37%

Draw

2.73

29%

Kocaelispor

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Rizespor xG

Total xG

2.26

1.07

Kocaelispor xG

35%
37%
29%
RizesporDrawKocaelispor

2.87

35%

Home win

2.73

37%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

34%

Rizespor

2.90

30%

Kocaelispor

3.29

Win to Nil

12%

Rizespor

8.34

9%

Kocaelispor

11.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 11.2 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.5 13.3 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.4 7.9 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.190
λ Away (xG) 1.066
Total xG 2.256
League avg home goals 1.376
League avg away goals 1.334
Rizespor attack strength 0.863
Rizespor defence strength 1.087
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.735
Kocaelispor defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 22