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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Kasımpaşa Win

45%

Kasımpaşa

2.23

37%

Draw

2.72

18%

Kocaelispor

5.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.7%

Draw

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Kasımpaşa xG

Total xG

1.92

0.71

Kocaelispor xG

45%
37%
18%
KasımpaşaDrawKocaelispor

2.23

45%

Home win

2.72

37%

Draw

5.44

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

49%

Kasımpaşa

2.03

30%

Kocaelispor

3.36

Win to Nil

22%

Kasımpaşa

4.52

5%

Kocaelispor

18.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7 10.4 3.7 0.9 0.2
1 17.8 12.6 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 10.8 7.6 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 4.4 3.1 1.1 0.3
4 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.212
λ Away (xG) 0.708
Total xG 1.920
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.128
Kasımpaşa attack strength 0.786
Kasımpaşa defence strength 0.956
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.657
Kocaelispor defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 31