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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 27 Jan 2025

17:00

Venue

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Kasımpaşa Win

42%

Kasımpaşa

2.36

30%

Draw

3.34

28%

Hatayspor

3.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Kasımpaşa xG

Total xG

2.68

1.18

Hatayspor xG

42%
30%
28%
KasımpaşaDrawHatayspor

2.36

42%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.62

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

31%

Kasımpaşa

3.25

22%

Hatayspor

4.48

Win to Nil

13%

Kasımpaşa

7.66

6%

Hatayspor

16.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.1 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.3 12.1 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.1 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.9 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.500
λ Away (xG) 1.179
Total xG 2.679
League avg home goals 1.675
League avg away goals 1.212
Kasımpaşa attack strength 0.862
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.168
Hatayspor attack strength 0.834
Hatayspor defence strength 1.038
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57