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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

22%

Kasımpaşa

4.63

26%

Draw

3.91

53%

Fenerbahçe

1.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Kasımpaşa xG

Total xG

3.18

1.96

Fenerbahçe xG

22%
26%
53%
KasımpaşaDrawFenerbahçe

4.63

22%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

1.89

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

14%

Kasımpaşa

7.11

30%

Fenerbahçe

3.38

Win to Nil

3%

Kasımpaşa

32.93

16%

Fenerbahçe

6.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 8.2 8.0 5.2 2.6 1.0
1 5.1 9.9 9.8 6.4 3.1 1.2
2 3.1 6.0 5.9 3.9 1.9 0.7
3 1.3 2.5 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.3
4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.217
λ Away (xG) 1.962
Total xG 3.179
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.195
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.046
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.265
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.297
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.901
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41