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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 16 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Kasımpaşa Win

38%

Kasımpaşa

2.61

38%

Draw

2.62

24%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Kasımpaşa xG

Total xG

2.02

0.87

Fatih Karagümrük xG

38%
38%
24%
KasımpaşaDrawFatih Karagümrük

2.61

38%

Home win

2.62

38%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

42%

Kasımpaşa

2.39

32%

Fatih Karagümrük

3.17

Win to Nil

16%

Kasımpaşa

6.24

7%

Fatih Karagümrük

13.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 11.5 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 15.2 13.3 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.8 7.7 3.3 1.0 0.2
3 3.4 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.154
λ Away (xG) 0.870
Total xG 2.024
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.321
Kasımpaşa attack strength 0.663
Kasımpaşa defence strength 0.942
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.699
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.282
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 21