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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

13:00

Venue

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Kasımpaşa Win

55%

Kasımpaşa

1.81

22%

Draw

4.51

23%

Alanyaspor

4.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Kasımpaşa xG

Total xG

3.20

1.21

Alanyaspor xG

55%
22%
23%
KasımpaşaDrawAlanyaspor

1.81

55%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

4.40

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

30%

Kasımpaşa

3.36

14%

Alanyaspor

7.30

Win to Nil

16%

Kasımpaşa

6.10

3%

Alanyaspor

32.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 4.9 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.1 9.8 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.8 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.3 6.5 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 3.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.988
λ Away (xG) 1.212
Total xG 3.200
League avg home goals 1.652
League avg away goals 1.179
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.262
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.403
Alanyaspor attack strength 0.733
Alanyaspor defence strength 0.953
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64