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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

13:00

Venue

Mersin Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hatayspor Win

48%

Hatayspor

2.08

26%

Draw

3.82

26%

Sivasspor

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Hatayspor xG

Total xG

2.53

1.03

Sivasspor xG

48%
26%
26%
HataysporDrawSivasspor

2.08

48%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

36%

Hatayspor

2.80

22%

Sivasspor

4.49

Win to Nil

17%

Hatayspor

5.84

6%

Sivasspor

17.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.9 12.3 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.2 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.501
λ Away (xG) 1.030
Total xG 2.531
League avg home goals 1.623
League avg away goals 1.195
Hatayspor attack strength 0.795
Hatayspor defence strength 1.140
Sivasspor attack strength 0.756
Sivasspor defence strength 1.163
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 64