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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Mon 26 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Mersin Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

11%

Hatayspor

9.24

14%

Draw

7.22

75%

Fenerbahçe

1.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 3

8.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

0 – 3

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Hatayspor xG

Total xG

4.19

3.05

Fenerbahçe xG

14%
75%
HataysporDrawFenerbahçe

9.24

11%

Home win

7.22

14%

Draw

1.33

75%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

60%

Over 3.5

1.67

40%

Under 3.5

2.50

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.86

Clean Sheet

5%

Hatayspor

21.07

32%

Fenerbahçe

3.13

Win to Nil

1%

Hatayspor

194.76

24%

Fenerbahçe

4.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 4.6 7.0 7.1 5.4 3.3
1 1.7 5.3 8.0 8.2 6.2 3.8
2 1.0 3.0 4.6 4.7 3.6 2.2
3 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.8 1.4 0.8
4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.142
λ Away (xG) 3.048
Total xG 4.190
League avg home goals 1.586
League avg away goals 1.296
Hatayspor attack strength 0.907
Hatayspor defence strength 1.377
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.707
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.793
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72