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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

10:30

Venue

Mersin Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alanyaspor Win

33%

Hatayspor

3.01

31%

Draw

3.20

36%

Alanyaspor

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Hatayspor xG

Total xG

2.30

1.17

Alanyaspor xG

33%
31%
36%
HataysporDrawAlanyaspor

3.01

33%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

31%

Hatayspor

3.23

32%

Alanyaspor

3.09

Win to Nil

10%

Hatayspor

9.74

12%

Alanyaspor

8.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 11.8 6.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.3 13.3 7.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.4 7.5 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.127
λ Away (xG) 1.174
Total xG 2.301
League avg home goals 1.645
League avg away goals 1.220
Hatayspor attack strength 0.796
Hatayspor defence strength 1.238
Alanyaspor attack strength 0.778
Alanyaspor defence strength 0.862
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60