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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 16 Aug 2026

17:00

Venue

Gaziantep Stadyumu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Gaziantep FK Win

41%

Gaziantep FK

2.46

31%

Draw

3.24

29%

Alanyaspor

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Gaziantep FK xG

Total xG

2.53

1.14

Alanyaspor xG

41%
31%
29%
Gaziantep FKDrawAlanyaspor

2.46

41%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

32%

Gaziantep FK

3.12

25%

Alanyaspor

4.02

Win to Nil

13%

Gaziantep FK

7.68

7%

Alanyaspor

14.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.1 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.1 12.6 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 8.8 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.392
λ Away (xG) 1.137
Total xG 2.529
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Gaziantep FK attack strength 0.918
Gaziantep FK defence strength 1.071
Alanyaspor attack strength 0.929
Alanyaspor defence strength 0.952
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34