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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Galatasaray run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Fatih Karagümrük.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Galatasaray beat Fatih Karagümrük 3-0 at Rams Park, Regular Season - 2, in the Süper Lig. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Galatasaray 2.10 xG and Fatih Karagümrük 0.95 xG, a combined 3.04. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Galatasaray beat their projection by 0.9 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Fatih Karagümrük landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Galatasaray attack 1.19 / defence 0.80 against Fatih Karagümrük attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 37/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Galatasaray 64% | Draw 20% | Fatih Karagümrük 16%, with Galatasaray to win its most likely call at 64%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights