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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Galatasaray run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Başakşehir.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Galatasaray beat Başakşehir 3-0 at Rams Park, Regular Season - 26, in the Süper Lig. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Galatasaray 1.90 xG and Başakşehir 1.34 xG, a combined 3.24. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Galatasaray beat their projection by 1.1 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Başakşehir landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Galatasaray attack 1.67 / defence 0.85 against Başakşehir attack 1.28 / defence 0.86, drawn from 61/61 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Galatasaray 47% | Draw 28% | Başakşehir 24%, with Galatasaray to win its most likely call at 47%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Galatasaray 66%, Başakşehir 59%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Galatasaray's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 41% of the time, and duly kept one.

Başakşehir's trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Galatasaray arrived the stronger side — 2.56 PPG against 1.57. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Galatasaray (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.83 average — tighter than their form line. Başakşehir (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.57 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.43 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights