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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 16 May 2027

17:00

Venue

Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

57%

Fenerbahçe

1.74

23%

Draw

4.30

19%

Kasımpaşa

5.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

2 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.18

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

3.41

1.23

Kasımpaşa xG

57%
23%
19%
FenerbahçeDrawKasımpaşa

1.74

57%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

5.16

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.80

Clean Sheet

29%

Fenerbahçe

3.42

11%

Kasımpaşa

8.81

Win to Nil

17%

Fenerbahçe

5.97

2%

Kasımpaşa

45.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 4.1 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.2 8.9 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 5.7 7.0 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 3.1 3.8 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.176
λ Away (xG) 1.231
Total xG 3.407
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.144
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.196
Fenerbahçe defence strength 1.057
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.018
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.142
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34