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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 23 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

59%

Fenerbahçe

1.69

26%

Draw

3.78

14%

Kasımpaşa

6.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

3.03

0.98

Kasımpaşa xG

59%
26%
14%
FenerbahçeDrawKasımpaşa

1.69

59%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

6.97

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

37%

Fenerbahçe

2.67

13%

Kasımpaşa

7.78

Win to Nil

22%

Fenerbahçe

4.51

2%

Kasımpaşa

54.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 9.9 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.9 6.8 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.6 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.051
λ Away (xG) 0.981
Total xG 3.032
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.264
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.337
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.930
Kasımpaşa attack strength 0.834
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.092
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58