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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

16:00

Venue

Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

57%

Fenerbahçe

1.75

19%

Draw

5.31

24%

Kasımpaşa

4.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.4%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

6.6%

Home win

2 – 2

6.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.70

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

4.47

1.77

Kasımpaşa xG

57%
19%
24%
FenerbahçeDrawKasımpaşa

1.75

57%

Home win

5.31

19%

Draw

4.16

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

94%

Over 1.5

1.06

6%

Under 1.5

16.67

82%

Over 2.5

1.22

18%

Under 2.5

5.56

65%

Over 3.5

1.54

35%

Under 3.5

2.86

46%

Over 4.5

2.17

54%

Under 4.5

1.85

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

78%

BTTS Yes

1.28

22%

BTTS No

4.52

Clean Sheet

17%

Fenerbahçe

5.88

7%

Kasımpaşa

14.86

Win to Nil

10%

Fenerbahçe

10.30

2%

Kasımpaşa

61.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.1 2.0 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2
1 3.1 5.5 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.2 7.4 6.5 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 3.7 6.6 5.9 3.5 1.5 0.5
4 2.5 4.5 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.4
5 1.4 2.4 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.699
λ Away (xG) 1.772
Total xG 4.471
League avg home goals 1.621
League avg away goals 1.211
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.322
Fenerbahçe defence strength 1.030
Kasımpaşa attack strength 1.420
Kasımpaşa defence strength 1.260
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60