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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Mon 1 Dec 2025

17:00

Venue

Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Galatasaray Win

30%

Fenerbahçe

3.31

29%

Draw

3.44

41%

Galatasaray

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

2.81

1.52

Galatasaray xG

30%
29%
41%
FenerbahçeDrawGalatasaray

3.31

30%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

22%

Fenerbahçe

4.58

28%

Galatasaray

3.63

Win to Nil

7%

Fenerbahçe

15.16

11%

Galatasaray

8.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 9.2 7.0 3.5 1.3 0.4
1 7.8 11.8 9.0 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 5.0 7.6 5.8 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.1 3.3 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.289
λ Away (xG) 1.522
Total xG 2.811
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 1.364
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.384
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.950
Galatasaray attack strength 1.174
Galatasaray defence strength 0.735
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49