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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

17:00

Venue

Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

47%

Fenerbahçe

2.13

25%

Draw

4.08

29%

Beşiktaş

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Fenerbahçe xG

Total xG

2.83

1.21

Beşiktaş xG

47%
25%
29%
FenerbahçeDrawBeşiktaş

2.13

47%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

30%

Fenerbahçe

3.36

20%

Beşiktaş

5.06

Win to Nil

14%

Fenerbahçe

7.15

6%

Beşiktaş

17.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.1 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.5 11.6 7.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.4 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.2 5.1 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.621
λ Away (xG) 1.211
Total xG 2.832
League avg home goals 1.659
League avg away goals 1.196
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.373
Fenerbahçe defence strength 1.044
Beşiktaş attack strength 0.970
Beşiktaş defence strength 0.712
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69