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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Samsunspor Win

25%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.08

32%

Draw

3.10

43%

Samsunspor

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Fatih Karagümrük xG

Total xG

2.66

1.53

Samsunspor xG

25%
32%
43%
Fatih KaragümrükDrawSamsunspor

4.08

25%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

22%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.63

32%

Samsunspor

3.08

Win to Nil

5%

Fatih Karagümrük

18.88

14%

Samsunspor

7.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 10.8 8.2 4.2 1.6 0.5
1 7.9 12.1 9.3 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.4 6.8 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.7 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.124
λ Away (xG) 1.532
Total xG 2.656
League avg home goals 1.390
League avg away goals 1.289
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.786
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.217
Samsunspor attack strength 0.976
Samsunspor defence strength 1.028
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 58