🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Göztepe cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Fatih Karagümrük.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Göztepe beat Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, Regular Season - 3, in the Süper Lig. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Fatih Karagümrük 1.14 xG and Göztepe 1.71 xG, a combined 2.85. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Fatih Karagümrük fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Fatih Karagümrük attack 0.86 / defence 1.15 against Göztepe attack 1.19 / defence 0.95, drawn from 1/38 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Fatih Karagümrük 26% | Draw 24% | Göztepe 51%, with Göztepe to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Fatih Karagümrük 100%, Göztepe 0%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 0%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Form vs Result

On form, Göztepe arrived the stronger side — 1.00 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Fatih Karagümrük conceded 2 against a 3.00 average — tighter than their form line. Göztepe scored 2 against a 0.00 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights