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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

17:00

Venue

Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fenerbahçe Win

12%

Fatih Karagümrük

8.18

25%

Draw

3.98

63%

Fenerbahçe

1.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

10.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Fatih Karagümrük xG

Total xG

3.06

2.14

Fenerbahçe xG

12%
25%
63%
Fatih KaragümrükDrawFenerbahçe

8.18

12%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

1.60

63%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

12%

Fatih Karagümrük

8.50

40%

Fenerbahçe

2.50

Win to Nil

1%

Fatih Karagümrük

69.50

25%

Fenerbahçe

3.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 10.1 10.8 7.7 4.1 1.8
1 4.3 9.2 9.9 7.0 3.8 1.6
2 2.0 4.2 4.5 3.2 1.7 0.7
3 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.916
λ Away (xG) 2.140
Total xG 3.056
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.226
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.729
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.122
Fenerbahçe attack strength 1.555
Fenerbahçe defence strength 0.955
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 61